POLÍTICAS PARA LA INTEGRACIÓN DEL JUICIO EXPERTO Y LOS PRONÓSTICOS ESTADÍSTICOS EN EL MARCO ORGANIZACIONAL (Article published in Spanish)

Authors

  • Juan David Velásquez H. Instituto de Energía. Universidad Nacional de Colombia
  • Isaacs Dyner R. 1Instituto de Energía. Universidad Nacional de Colombia
  • Reinaldo C. Souza Pontificia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro

Keywords:

Forecasting, Organizational Strategies, Judgement, Mathematical Modeling

Abstract

It has been long recognized, the importance of prediction in decision making, and evidences have been found about the one of most effective methods is the adjustment of forecasts based on mathematical models using judgement. Notwithstanding, it exists an amount of factors that might affect the quality and credibility of the predictions; in this work, the factors related with the organization politics are examined, and several strategies are proposed for their mitigation.

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Published

2006-06-30

Issue

Section

Research articles

How to Cite

POLÍTICAS PARA LA INTEGRACIÓN DEL JUICIO EXPERTO Y LOS PRONÓSTICOS ESTADÍSTICOS EN EL MARCO ORGANIZACIONAL (Article published in Spanish). (2006). Estudios Gerenciales, (99), 131-152. https://www2.icesi.edu.co/revistas/index.php/estudios_gerenciales/article/view/195